Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001145 0.001240 0.001341 0.001457 0.001588 0.001730 0.001898
2026-02-01 0.000974 0.001096 0.001233 0.001400 0.001599 0.001831 0.002124
2026-02-08 0.000867 0.001002 0.001159 0.001358 0.001607 0.001911 0.002318
2026-02-15 0.000799 0.000943 0.001116 0.001342 0.001636 0.002010 0.002537
2026-02-22 0.000736 0.000884 0.001065 0.001308 0.001634 0.002064 0.002695
2026-03-01 0.000676 0.000822 0.001006 0.001257 0.001602 0.002072 0.002786
2026-03-08 0.000638 0.000786 0.000974 0.001239 0.001611 0.002133 0.002957
2026-03-15 0.000602 0.000749 0.000940 0.001214 0.001607 0.002174 0.003100
2026-03-22 0.000554 0.000695 0.000880 0.001147 0.001538 0.002113 0.003073
2026-03-29 0.000524 0.000664 0.000848 0.001120 0.001524 0.002131 0.003174
2026-04-05 0.000513 0.000657 0.000850 0.001138 0.001578 0.002257 0.003469
2026-04-12 0.000498 0.000642 0.000839 0.001139 0.001604 0.002341 0.003698
2026-04-19 0.000537 0.000708 0.000950 0.001332 0.001958 0.003017 0.005153
2026-04-26 0.000501 0.000667 0.000903 0.001281 0.001913 0.003007 0.005294
2026-05-03 0.000473 0.000634 0.000866 0.001244 0.001887 0.003029 0.005503
2026-05-10 0.000453 0.000612 0.000845 0.001230 0.001898 0.003120 0.005879
2026-05-17 0.000430 0.000586 0.000815 0.001200 0.001878 0.003148 0.006116
2026-05-24 0.000406 0.000555 0.000778 0.001154 0.001827 0.003109 0.006191
2026-05-31 0.000390 0.000537 0.000758 0.001138 0.001828 0.003174 0.006531
2026-06-07 0.000374 0.000518 0.000737 0.001116 0.001815 0.003210 0.006807
2026-06-14 0.000351 0.000487 0.000695 0.001056 0.001728 0.003080 0.006619
2026-06-21 0.000337 0.000470 0.000673 0.001032 0.001706 0.003088 0.006810
2026-06-28 0.000332 0.000467 0.000675 0.001048 0.001765 0.003280 0.007567